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Zillow’s Take on the 2025 Housing Market
Jan 29, 2025
Dr. Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist at Zillow and founder of the Quantitative Research Group, dives into key insights about the housing market in 2025. He discusses how homeowner wealth has influenced economic resilience and minimized recession risks. Orphe also highlights labor market challenges and the ongoing effects of a K-shaped recovery. The conversation covers wage growth, housing affordability, and trends in multifamily housing construction, shedding light on the relationship between economic indicators and residential mobility.
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Quick takeaways
- Zillow's 2025 housing market forecasts indicate that factors like mortgage rates and household wealth will play pivotal roles in market dynamics.
- The housing market is experiencing a K-shaped recovery, highlighting disparities between wealthy homeowners and struggling lower-income renters amidst fluctuating conditions.
Deep dives
Understanding Recent Trends in the Housing Market
The housing market has experienced significant fluctuation in recent years, particularly due to shifts in interest rates and consumer behavior. Despite initial concerns about a potential recession following a rapid increase in interest rates by the Fed starting mid-2022, the predicted downturn did not occur. Factors such as strong labor earnings, a solid labor market, and increased household financial wealth, primarily through rising home equity, played crucial roles in sustaining the market. As a result, households capitalized on historically low mortgage rates, leading to a rebound in home prices after a decline.
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