War on the Rocks
Ukraine Prepares for 2024
Jan 5, 2024
The podcast discusses the current Russo-Ukrainian conflict, including the situation on the front lines, naval developments in the Black Sea, Russia's diplomacy, and Ukraine's offensive. It explores the changing military capabilities, Ukraine's impact on the Black Sea and shipping, Russia's naval warfare, and the need for unity of effort in approaching the war.
28:51
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Quick takeaways
- Ukraine's fires advantage is crucial for attritioning Russian forces and enabling successful offensive operations.
- Training and scalability are crucial to maximize the impact of increased artillery firepower and increase the likelihood of successful offensive campaigns.
Deep dives
Lack of Fires Advantage: Ukraine needs a decisive fires advantage to attrition Russian forces and enable maneuver. The fires advantage should include quantity of artillery, drones, and long-range precision strike capabilities.
The Russian fires advantage in the war in Ukraine has become significant with an estimated 5 to 1 ratio on the front line. Ukraine's ability to acquire artillery ammunition has been strained, while Russia has recovered artillery production and has obtained ammunition from places like North Korea. Increasing Ukraine's fires advantage is crucial for attritioning Russian forces and enabling successful offensive operations.
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