Bloomberg Surveillance cover image

Bloomberg Surveillance

Markets Monitor Banks, Inflation Data, and the 2024 Election

Oct 11, 2024
Leslie Falconio, CIO of UBS Financial Services, dives into fixed income strategies and discusses why she anticipates a soft landing without significant yield declines. Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, analyzes recent inflation data and its implications for the U.S. economy, highlighting consumer resilience. Joe Mathieu explores dynamic presidential campaign strategies, focusing on the contrasting approaches of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, while emphasizing the importance of the Latino vote in the 2024 election.
26:47

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Strong capital levels in major banks, particularly JPMorgan, signify enhanced stability and operational effectiveness compared to historical standards.
  • Smaller regional banks are thriving by focusing on localized customer needs, demonstrating resilience amidst regulatory challenges faced by larger institutions.

Deep dives

Strength of Major Banks

The current performance of major banks, particularly JPMorgan, is highlighted as they exhibit impressive capital ratios, with JPMorgan's common equity tier one (CET1) ratio surpassing 15 percent. This strength in capital levels is a marked improvement compared to the financial institutions of the 1980s and 1990s, signifying a more resilient banking system. The discussion emphasizes that these banks have effectively managed their risks, despite facing regulatory challenges and competition from the unregulated shadow banking sector, which includes private equity and credit firms. The robust capital and intangible common equity positioned within large banks are seen as key factors contributing to their stability and operational effectiveness in the current economic landscape.

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