

Aubrey Clayton, "Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science" (Columbia UP, 2021)
Feb 10, 2022
Aubrey Clayton, author of 'Bernoulli's Fallacy', delves into the logical flaws in statistical methods that threaten modern science. He reveals how misunderstandings of probability have led to the reproducibility crisis across disciplines. Exploring the historical roots from gambling to social sciences, Clayton illustrates how biases shaped statistical practices, particularly eugenics. He advocates for Bayesian approaches, emphasizing the need for improved statistical literacy to navigate uncertainties and enhance decision-making in society.
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Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Intro
00:00 • 2min
Navigating the Pandemic as a First-Time Author
02:11 • 2min
The Journey Through Probability
03:59 • 18min
The Evolution of Statistics: From Gambling to Social Sciences
22:22 • 4min
Foundations of Modern Statistics
25:55 • 6min
The Role of Statistics and Probability in Modern Science
31:55 • 6min
Reevaluating Scientific Practices and Statistical Methods
37:26 • 28min