

The job market that won't quit
Jul 24, 2025
Jobless claims have dropped to their lowest since April, indicating a surprisingly resilient job market. Meanwhile, American Airlines faces financial hurdles, raising concerns about its future. The discussion also touches on NVIDIA's scrutiny from the DOJ, highlighting the complexities of antitrust regulations. Lastly, insights into the Federal Reserve reveal that replacing Chairman Powell may not provide the expected debt relief, with potential consequences for long-term economic stability.
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Labor Market Resilience
- Initial jobless claims hit their lowest since April, indicating strong labor market resilience.
- This trend supports the Fed's ability to keep interest rates steady while monitoring inflation effects.
Frozen Labor Market Dynamics
- Layoffs remain low, creating a 'frozen' labor market with limited job openings outside key sectors.
- Underlying claims have recently dipped, though some distortions affect the overall picture.
Industrial Margin Squeeze
- Honeywell faces margin pressure amid inflation and acquisition costs despite positive revenue outlook.
- Cost containment and pricing power question marks emerge in a challenging industrial environment.