What impact could Burkina Faso massacre have on military regime?
Aug 30, 2024
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A devastating massacre in Burkina Faso highlights the urgent need for united civilian support of military forces. An Al-Qaeda-linked group has intensified violence, challenging the government's efforts to regain control. The military regime's reliance on Russian support raises questions about future collaborations. As fear grows among civilians, the potential fallout for the military's recruitment strategies is explored. The shocking attack underscores the precarious security landscape, demanding urgent responses from both the government and the people.
The recent massacre in Barsalogho underscores the increasing dangers for civilians collaborating with Burkina Faso's military against insurgents, complicating their support efforts.
Military leader Ibrahim Traore faces intensifying scrutiny and political ramifications following the devastating attack, challenging his government's ability to protect innocent lives.
Deep dives
Recent Attack on Civilians in Burkina Faso
A recent attack by militants in the northern village of Barasa Logo has resulted in devastating civilian casualties, with reports suggesting well over 100 deaths. The attack, characterized as one of the worst in Burkina Faso's troubled history, primarily targeted innocent civilians, including women, children, and elderly persons, while they were digging trenches alongside security forces. This incident highlights the perilous environment in which military and civilian collaboration exists, raising questions about how civilians can safely support government efforts against insurgency without becoming targets themselves. The government's response included visits from authorities to hospitalize victims, signaling an acknowledgment of the gravitas of the situation and the urgency for action against this wave of violence.
Militant Tactics and Operational Challenges
The militants responsible for the attack employed strategic timing and targeted areas with minimal military presence, allowing them to inflict a high number of casualties over several hours. Remote regions of Burkina Faso, such as Barasa Logo, lack swift security reinforcements due to difficult terrain and poor communication infrastructure, exacerbated by the rainy season. These operational challenges present significant obstacles for the military, which struggles to maintain adequate security and respond effectively to aggression from entrenched militant groups. Furthermore, militants are increasingly targeting local populations perceived as supporting government operations, emphasizing the threats posed to those collaborating with military forces.
Political Implications and Future Strategies
The attack not only poses immediate security concerns but also holds significant political implications for military leader Ibrahim Traore, who took power in a coup with promises to address the insurgency. With ongoing internal pressures, including numerous coup attempts against him since his rise to power, Traore faces mounting scrutiny regarding his government's efficacy in protecting civilians. The likelihood of increased military recruitment efforts and possibly engaging in negotiations with militant groups remains uncertain, as public sentiment towards current military strategies is mixed. As Burkina Faso explores potential partnerships for military support, such as with Russia, the effectiveness of these strategies under current conditions remains in question, especially as attacks become more frequent and deadly.
“More than ever, the people of Burkina Faso need to remain united around the defence and security forces.”
A video showing scores of civilians shot dead in the ditches they were digging - was released by an Al Qaeda-linked group active in Burkina Faso earlier this week. It was apparent proof of a major attack it said it had conducted in the northern village of Barsalogho on Saturday.
It’s believed at least 100 people were killed, but the government hasn’t confirmed numbers. But what is clear is that it’s one of the worst attacks by Jihadist fighters the country has ever suffered.
The government often doesn’t acknowledge such attacks, but this time ministers were filmed visiting victims in hospital. They condemned the attack and called on the public to support the army in its fight against the insurgency. The leader of the military regime, Ibrahim Traore, came to power in a coup in 2022 promising to reconquer all rebel held areas - and last year declared a "general mobilisation" of the population.
But will this attack make civilians even more fearful of aiding the military?
Presenter: Alan @Kasujja
Guest: Beverly Ochieng, senior analyst with Control Risks.
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