

Trump forced an end to the Iran war. Is Israel's war in Gaza next?
Jun 26, 2025
Shira Efron, Research Director at the Israel Policy Forum and former leader of the Israel program at RAND Corporation, discusses the delicate balance of military success against Iran and the urgent need for diplomatic measures to prevent nuclear development. She reflects on the challenges in bringing Iran back to the negotiation table after perceived betrayals. Efron contrasts the quick U.S.-imposed ceasefire in the Iran conflict with the enduring quagmire in Gaza, emphasizing the human cost and the necessity for a comprehensive regional peace.
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Israel's Final Blow to Iran
- Israel's strike on Iran was intense and meant to deliver a final blow to the nuclear program.
- The ceasefire imposed by the U.S. forced Israel to stop further attacks and push for a diplomatic solution.
Nuclear Setback Unclear, Diplomacy Needed
- The actual setback to Iran's nuclear program is uncertain, ranging from months to years.
- Long-term prevention depends on diplomacy as much as on military action.
Convince Iran Against Nukes
- To prevent Iran from pursuing nuclear weapons, convince them their security is better without them.
- Achieving this requires a combination of diplomatic efforts and kinetic military strikes.