ABC News Daily
Antony Green on the seats that could decide the 2025 election
Jan 1, 2025
Antony Green, ABC's Chief Elections Analyst, breaks down the shifting dynamics ahead of the 2025 Australian federal election. He discusses how high interest rates and cost of living pressures are influencing voter concerns. Green also highlights significant changes in electoral boundaries, including new and removed seats, which could reshape party competitiveness. He emphasizes the government’s precarious majority and the emerging political movements that might alter traditional voting patterns. This conversation is a must-listen for anyone keen on Australian politics!
10:50
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Quick takeaways
- The Albanese government, with only 78 seats, faces a precarious position ahead of the 2025 election due to potential voter swings.
- High interest rates and cost-of-living pressures are expected to dominate the campaign issues for both major parties in 2025.
Deep dives
Challenges for the Albanese Government
The Albanese government faces significant challenges in the lead-up to the 2025 election, with only 78 seats in parliament. They can only afford to lose two or three seats to maintain their majority, which is a precarious position given that current opinion polls indicate a swing of 1% against them across the country. This swing is critical, as it suggests a high likelihood of the government losing its majority, complicating their efforts to gain ground in a competitive electoral landscape. As the election year progresses, the government's ability to navigate these challenges will be central to its survival.
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