ABC News Daily Antony Green on the seats that could decide the 2025 election
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Jan 1, 2025 
Antony Green, ABC's Chief Elections Analyst, breaks down the shifting dynamics ahead of the 2025 Australian federal election. He discusses how high interest rates and cost of living pressures are influencing voter concerns. Green also highlights significant changes in electoral boundaries, including new and removed seats, which could reshape party competitiveness. He emphasizes the government’s precarious majority and the emerging political movements that might alter traditional voting patterns. This conversation is a must-listen for anyone keen on Australian politics!
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Electoral Seat Changes
- WA gained a new seat named Bullwinkle, after Australian nurse Vivian Bullwinkle.
- Two seats, Higgins and North Sydney, were abolished, reducing the House of Representatives to 150.
Impact of Redistribution
- The redistribution affects some seats' notional status, like Bennelong and Menzies.
- However, the margin shifts are minor and don't significantly impact election outcomes.
Shift from Major Parties
- A shift away from major parties continues, with third parties polling around 30%.
- This trend reflects global changes in party allegiances, less pronounced in Australia due to compulsory voting.