Record house prices + How our gov let $7 billion go up in smoke
Mar 31, 2025
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Rohan Pike, a former Australian Federal Police officer who led an illicit tobacco task force, shares his insights on the hidden costs of Australia's rising house prices and the out-of-control illegal tobacco market. He discusses alarming trends connecting soaring property values to increased criminal activity and examines how high tobacco taxes are driving consumers to the black market. Pike emphasizes the dire need for policy reforms to address the $7 billion revenue loss and combat violent crime linked to illicit tobacco sales.
The surge in illegal tobacco trade is largely driven by high government taxes, which push consumers towards cheaper, illicit options.
The expansion of the illegal tobacco market not only results in significant economic losses but also contributes to rising violence and public safety concerns.
Deep dives
The Growth of the Illegal Tobacco Industry
The illegal tobacco industry is rapidly expanding, with more individuals seeking cheaper alternatives to legal tobacco products. This surge can be attributed to exorbitant excise taxes imposed by the government, driving consumers towards the black market where prices are significantly lower. The environmental and economic costs of this trade are substantial, including a dramatic revenue loss for the government estimated at nearly $7 billion. Violent crimes associated with the illicit tobacco market are rising, highlighting the urgent need for policy reform and enforcement measures to curb this expanding issue.
Failures in Current Enforcement Strategies
Current enforcement strategies against illegal tobacco trade appear ineffective, with law enforcement focusing more on product seizures than on deterring organized crime. Despite significant resources allocated to combatting this industry, the number of prosecutions remains low in comparison to the scale of the problem. The persistent high prices of legal tobacco products have incentivized smokers to join the illegal market, making it essential for authorities to reassess their strategies and laws. Without harsher penalties and more rigorous enforcement, organized crime groups will continue to thrive in this lucrative market.
Impact on Consumers and Community
Consumers who choose to buy illegal tobacco products contribute to the growth of organized crime, which may lead to increased violence and public safety concerns. While many individuals opt for these cheaper products out of economic necessity, this choice supports criminal enterprises that cause significant societal harm. It is crucial for consumers to understand their role in perpetuating this cycle and the broader implications it has on community safety. The discussion emphasizes the need for comprehensive policy changes to balance public health interests with economic realities facing consumers.
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Deep Dive: The illegal tobacco industry is growing, and despite its links to violent firebombings and illegal sales, so is the number of people turning to it for cheaper smokes and vapes.
Experts say the government’s high tobacco taxes are only fueling the issue, with more people pushed into searching for cheaper alternatives, and leaving a near $7 billion hole in the federal budget.
In this episode of The Briefing, Tara Cassidy is joined by former Australian Federal Police officer Rohan Pike, who led one of the country’s illicit tobacco task forces.