Market MakeHer Podcast 20. Stock Market Update: The Bull Case for a Santa Claus Rally
Nov 28, 2023
Dive into a thrilling analysis of the stock market as the hosts explore the potential for a Santa Claus rally. They discuss the impact of a dovish Fed and deflationary trends, alongside resilient consumer spending. The segment on Q3 earnings reveals impressive growth figures, showcasing an earnings beat rate of 81.3%. There’s also a chat about the excitement around AI, particularly NVIDIA’s influence on chip demand. Finally, listeners get strategic portfolio tips just in time for the holidays.
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Seasonality And The Santa Claus Rally
- Seasonality drives predictable market patterns with strong Nov–Jan performance and weak Sep–Oct returns.
- Mutual-fund tax-loss harvesting around Oct 31 causes selling that often sets up the year-end rally.
Fed Paused But Staying Higher For Longer
- The Fed may be done raising rates because inflation is moderating, but keeping rates higher for longer risks slowing growth.
- Markets now price in rate cuts as early as March if deflationary signals persist.
Personal Shift From Impulse To Deliberate Spending
- Jessie DeNuit describes shifting personal pandemic spending habits toward more deliberate purchases post-pandemic.
- She wonders whether broader consumer behavior will similarly change and affect where spending goes.