Jan Hummel, CIO of Paradigm Capital, shares insights on risk management and investment strategies in the European asset landscape. Topics include selective investment criteria, geographical focus, portfolio construction, valuation techniques, and macro-economic factors influencing market conditions.
Paradigm Capital focuses on minimizing risk as a crucial aspect of its investment philosophy, targeting companies with market caps slightly below 10 billion in the small mid-cap space for higher returns over time.
In valuing companies, Paradigm Capital emphasizes normalizing EBIT or EBITDA over cycles to understand sustainable earnings, evaluating gross and EBITDA margins, seeking stability and scale advantages.
Deep dives
Investment Philosophy of Paradigm Capital
Paradigm Capital focuses on minimizing risk as a crucial aspect of its investment philosophy. By targeting companies with market caps slightly below 10 billion in the small mid-cap space, they aim for higher returns over time. The fund specializes in investing in listed companies in Europe, focusing on the three German-speaking countries, the four Nordics, the UK, and Ireland. With a concentrated portfolio typically consisting of 15 to 20 companies, Paradigm also maintains cash for capturing opportunities during market downturns, utilizing a hedging strategy to balance market beta and cash availability.
Sourcing and Portfolio Building at Paradigm Capital
Paradigm Capital's approach to sourcing investment opportunities involves leveraging a library of around 110 companies, with three-quarters of new ideas originating from this pool. The fund initially utilized traditional methods like reading publications and forming networks for idea generation. As the team size and expertise grew, the focus shifted towards understanding companies well with in-depth analysis, leading to swift position building. The overall portfolio is divided into exploratory, high-conviction, and suggestivist positions, balancing risk and return based on each position's potential.
Valuation Methodology at Paradigm Capital
In valuing companies, Paradigm Capital emphasizes normalizing EBIT or EBITDA over cycles to understand sustainable earnings. The fund evaluates gross and EBITDA margins, seeking stability and scale advantages. By applying these metrics to future sales and considering enterprise value multiples, Paradigm establishes a value framework. Valuation factors like earnings yield, dividend yield, and projected growth rates are assessed to gauge potential returns and compare against market benchmarks.
Risk Management and Hedging Strategies at Paradigm Capital
Paradigm Capital employs a multi-faceted approach to risk management through various tools and strategies. The fund utilizes shorting individual securities, special investment opportunities, and different derivatives like options and index futures for hedging purposes. These instruments aim to ensure liquidity and capital availability during market downturns. While holding cash is another risk management tool, Paradigm carefully balances its use to avoid missing out on market opportunities and optimize portfolio performance.
In this episode, Tano Santos sits down with Jan Hummel, CIO of Paradigm Capital, revisiting his investment strategies and exploring the nuanced dimensions of risk management in the evolving European asset landscape. Jan discusses the foundational investment philosophy of Paradigm Capital, emphasizing risk minimization and the strategic deployment of assets across Europe. Key discussions pivot around the firm's selective investment criteria, focusing on companies in the small to mid-cap space and the significance of geographical and cultural nuances in their investment decisions. This conversation offers listeners insights into the subtleties of value investing, portfolio construction, the implications of geopolitical and economic dynamics on market opportunities, and so much more!
Key Topics:
Introduction and background of Jan Hummel (0:37)
Fundamental tenets of investment philosophy at Paradigm Capital (1:25)
The impact of European market dynamics on investment strategies (7:25)
Sourcing and valuing investment opportunities (9:47)
Specific approaches to risk management and hedging strategies (22:23)
Portfolio sizing and the decision-making process behind exiting investments (26:00)
The role of geographical focus in Paradigm's investment strategy (29:12)
Valuation techniques and practical applications in portfolio management (32:03)
Trends and challenges in the European asset management industry (36:48)
Macro-economic factors influencing market conditions and investment decisions (40:30)
Prospects for growth and opportunities in the European financial landscape (45:17)