Japan Memo Japan’s Security and Diplomacy in 2025 with Dr Kristi Govella and Dr Eva Pejsova
Dec 15, 2025
Kristi Govella, a noted expert in Japanese politics and economic security, and Eva Pejsova, who specializes in Indo-Pacific security dynamics, delve into Japan's diplomatic landscape in 2025. They discuss the fallout from U.S. tariffs and their impact on trade negotiations, as well as the evolving political dynamics under Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae. Highlights include insights on Japan's security partnerships, the balance between U.S. demands and European cooperation, and the implications of Japan's foreign policy as it navigates relations with China and Taiwan.
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Tariffs Kickstarted A Long Negotiation
- US tariffs on autos in 2025 posed a major economic threat to Japan, affecting GDP and employment significantly.
- Kristi Govella highlights that the July US-Japan investment deal begins a multi-year, politically driven negotiation process through 2029.
Japan's Defense Posture Is Becoming More Autonomous
- Japan is steadily shifting toward a more proactive and autonomous defense posture while staying allied with the US.
- Eva Pejsova notes Japan's Joint Operational Command and references to "strategic autonomy" as evidence of evolving capabilities.
Mogami Deal Tests Japan's Defence Industry
- Winning the Mogami-class frigate contract for Australia marks Japan's arrival in defence industrial cooperation.
- Eva Pejsova warns the deal is a test case that will shape Japan's reputation as an arms provider.
