The NPR Politics Podcast Trump's Indictment Could Lock Up Primary, But Lock Out Presidency
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Jun 16, 2023 Nina Totenberg, NPR's legal affairs correspondent known for her Supreme Court insights, joins to discuss Donald Trump's historic indictment. She highlights that while 83% of Republicans support him, concerns loom over his appeal to swing voters. The conversation also delves into the Supreme Court's ruling on the Indian Child Welfare Act and its implications for Native American rights. Additionally, the rise of new Republican candidates and the impact of Latino voters add layers to the unfolding political landscape.
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Trump's Tightrope
- Trump's indictment solidified his base support, boosting favorability among Republicans.
- However, it worsened his image among independents, creating a general election challenge.
Republican Calculations
- Some Republicans publicly doubt Trump's general election viability, but it doesn't affect his base.
- Many of these Republicans may be aiming for the VP slot or positioning themselves for 2028.
Electoral Calculus
- Trump's general election success hinges on disaffection with both him and Biden, particularly among independents.
- His potential for growth lies in increased turnout from certain demographics, like white working-class and some Latino voters.