The Macro Minute with Darius Dale Is the global liquidity cycle rolling over?
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Nov 14, 2025 The discussion highlights early indicators of a global liquidity decline, signaling potential market troubles. Darius shares insights on how hawkish Fed comments have shifted market expectations, increasing volatility. Meanwhile, China's slowing momentum and hesitance to provide monetary support is explored. The importance of disciplined risk management is emphasized, with Darius introducing unique tools for navigating these turbulent waters. Community feedback underscores the value of strategic discipline in uncertain markets.
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Early Signs Of A Liquidity Rollover
- Global liquidity is rolling over at the margin as market pricing shifts toward tighter Fed policy.
- Whether this becomes a durable downturn depends primarily on the Federal Reserve's next moves.
Markets Rapidly Reprice Fed Path
- Traders cut odds of a December Fed rate cut to below 50% after Fed officials questioned further easing.
- Money markets rapidly repriced and focused on upcoming Fed remarks and delayed economic releases.
China Pulling Back From Liquidity Support
- China is pulling back on liquidity after stimulus and OK loan growth, reducing odds of further easing.
- Beijing judges a ~5% 2025 growth target achievable and is less inclined to add monetary support.