Ask HTM - Career Pivoting to Day Trading, Life Insurance Alternatives, & Predicting Future Stock Market Returns #781
Jan 29, 2024
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Topics discussed in this episode include career pivoting to day trading, life insurance alternatives, and predicting future stock market returns. The hosts also touch on the importance of controlling investments and discuss whether term life insurance is necessary for those without dependents. Additionally, they explore the risks and potential rewards of day trading stocks, emphasizing caution and strategic decision-making.
Investment returns in the stock market can vary based on allocation and market valuation, so it is wise to plan for slightly lower returns while remaining open to better-than-expected performance.
The decision between paying off debt or keeping cash on hand depends on individual circumstances and goals, weighing the opportunity cost and having cash readily available for emergencies.
Day trading is not a guaranteed path to wealth and often involves high transaction costs, emotional stress, and the risk of substantial financial loss, making long-term investing and diversification more prudent strategies.
Deep dives
Lower projected returns and the importance of diversification
Spencer, a listener, raised a question about his financial advisor projecting a conservative 6% return on his portfolio. Vanguard has also projected lower returns for US equities. The projection can vary depending on the investment allocation. Investing in a target date or balanced fund may result in more conservative returns, while a more aggressive approach with a heavier allocation to stocks may yield higher returns. Current market valuations should also be considered. Global equity returns are predicted to be more robust compared to US equities. Ultimately, it is wise to plan for slightly lower returns while remaining open to better-than-expected performance. Increasing the percentage of money invested may be beneficial.
The trade-off between paying off debt and keeping cash on hand
The decision between paying off debt or keeping cash on hand depends on individual circumstances. Although paying off debt with a 6% interest rate may seem like an optimal choice, keeping cash on hand can offer flexibility and prevent the need for more expensive debt in the future. It also provides opportunities to invest in higher-yielding ventures. Balancing the opportunity cost and having cash readily available for emergencies is crucial. Strategic debt management considering individual goals and risk tolerance is key.
The allure and risks of day trading
Day trading has gained popularity due to the image portrayed by the E-Trade Baby and the potential for quick wealth. However, it is important to understand the risks involved. Success as a day trader requires skill, knowledge, and careful decision-making. It is not a guaranteed path to riches. Day trading often involves high transaction costs, emotional stress, and the possibility of substantial financial loss. For most individuals, long-term investing, diversification, and a disciplined approach are more prudent strategies for building wealth over time.
Do You Really Need Term Life Insurance?
In this episode, the hosts discuss whether term life insurance is necessary for individuals who do not have dependents. They explain that life insurance exists specifically for income replacement, and if nobody depends on your income, life insurance may not be necessary. They also discuss other ways to protect loved ones and cover funeral expenses without relying on life insurance. The hosts conclude that term life insurance is not a necessity for everyone, and there are often better ways to utilize your money.
Investing in the Stock Market vs. Day Trading
The hosts address a listener's question around investing $10,000 and making a choice between putting it into a CD, paying towards a home loan, or paying towards student loans, all with a 6% interest rate. They acknowledge that the decision depends on personal circumstances, but they emphasize the importance of considering the long-term benefits and risks. They caution against day trading, explaining that it is more akin to gambling and often leads to financial losses. The hosts advocate for a long-term, passive investment approach instead of attempting to make quick gains through day trading.
Let’s dive into the week with some fresh listener questions we have lined up for you! And don't just stand on the sidelines- if you have a question you’d like us to answer, toss your voice memo our way. It only takes about 90 seconds to record and you can find a step by step guide over at HowToMoney.com/ask . Regardless of how random or bizarre you might think it is, we want to hear it!
1 - As I’m mapping out my financial future, what kind of returns should I expect from the stock market?
2 - Do I actually need life insurance if I don’t have a partner or kids?
3 - Should I pay off a debt or invest that money if the rate of return is the same on both?
4 - Is day trading a career choice that I should consider?
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