The podcast discusses the dominance of tech stocks in driving indices to record highs in 2023. It explores potential factors impacting tech dominance and the global perspective of tech companies. The podcast also delves into the blurring lines between tech and traditional companies. Lastly, it analyzes the importance of cloud growth for major tech companies in earnings week.
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Quick takeaways
Investors should consider small and mid-cap tech stocks in addition to the dominant 'Magnificent Seven' for best returns in the tech markets.
The return on investment of AI infrastructure and the path rate of interest rates are significant factors that could impact tech dominance and should be closely monitored.
Deep dives
Tech dominance driving market highs
The dominance of tech stocks, particularly the magnificent seven major tech companies, has contributed to record highs in the market. Despite a challenging economic environment in 2023, these tech stocks saw significant gains, with an average increase of 105%. However, in 2024, there is an expectation of a broadening of strength in the tech markets, as overall tech growth is projected to accelerate to north of 6%. This shift in leadership presents an opportunity for investors to explore stocks beyond the magnificent seven for the best returns.
Factors that may affect tech dominance
Two major factors that could impact tech dominance are the return on investment (ROI) of AI infrastructure and the path rate of interest rates. If there is no ROI on the investment in AI infrastructure, it may pause the dominance of tech. Additionally, a rise in inflation could lead to the Federal Reserve increasing interest rates, which would affect tech valuations. These risks should be closely monitored. Moreover, while the US dominates in terms of tech innovation, there are growing ecosystems of non-US tech companies in regions like Latin America, India, and China.
Tech stocks in the “Magnificent Seven” are continuing to drive S&P valuations higher. But are investors starting to consider small and mid-cap tech stocks as well in 2024? Sung Cho, co-head of Tech Investing for Fundamental Equity in Goldman Sachs Asset Management, discusses what he believes to see in tech this year.