

Soft Dictatorship, Big Tariffs
Sep 9, 2025
Jacob Shapiro welcomes back Elohim Monard, a keen political commentator and host of Conversando de Politica. They delve into the transactional nature of U.S.-Latin America relations, exploring how leaders like Lula and Claudia Sheinbaum navigate Washington’s shifting policies. The duo discusses Brazil’s geopolitical role, the fragility of Venezuela, and the rise of populism. They also highlight the 'Latin Americanization' of U.S. politics and examine China's growing influence in the region, offering intriguing insights into the future dynamics of American power.
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Host's Hiatus And New Spanish Podcast
- Jacob recounts being ill for several weeks, explaining the podcast hiatus and recovery process.
- He used the break to launch a Spanish podcast with Elohim to broaden their ideas to Latin America.
US-Latin America Relations Are Transactional
- Jacob and Elohim argue US policy toward Latin America has long been transactional and force-driven rather than values-based.
- Historical interventionism explains why many Latin American states rarely materially defy US demands.
Tariffs As Performance, Not Strategy
- Trump-era tariffs on Brazil and India may be signaling toughness to China rather than coherent long-term strategy.
- The approach mixes performative short-term drama with inconsistent strategic logic.