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Aswath Damodaran on valuation, bias, and real value creation

Jan 6, 2026
Aswath Damodaran, a distinguished finance professor at NYU Stern, dives deep into the intricacies of valuation and corporate finance. He challenges traditional metrics like ROIC, emphasizing the need for innovative approaches to capturing real value. Damodaran highlights the significance of intertwining company narratives with numerical analysis and critiques the pitfalls of relying on accounting measures. He discusses the impact of bias in forecasts, the role of R&D as a genuine investment, and offers insights on navigating the emerging AI landscape—all while underlining the importance of realistic valuation strategies.
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INSIGHT

Connect Story To Numbers

  • Valuation links narrative and numbers; the story must explain why financials look the way they do.
  • Aswath Damodaran says spreadsheets alone risk missing the real business drivers behind valuations.
INSIGHT

Be Realistic About Beating Cost Of Capital

  • Be humble: creating returns above cost of capital is hard and uncommon globally.
  • Damodaran reports only about 30% of companies earn more than their cost of capital in 2024.
INSIGHT

ROIC Can Mislead Due To Accounting

  • ROIC is flawed because both numerator and denominator are accounting figures subject to inconsistency.
  • Damodaran warns accounting write-offs and accounting play can make poor firms look profitable on ROIC.
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