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The podcast discusses the host's skepticism towards private markets, particularly private equity, considering it an overdone and risky asset. He believes that many investors are heavily allocating their assets to private markets without fully understanding the associated risks, leading to potential pain in their portfolios.
The podcast explores the bias towards investing in US stocks compared to international markets. The host suggests that investors have developed narratives to justify the US as the superior market, causing them to overlook attractive opportunities in other countries. He highlights Japan as an example of a market offering rich opportunities, with cheap valuations and better economic prospects.
The podcast delves into the ongoing debate between growth and value investing. The guest shares the view that growth stocks, particularly expensive glamour stocks, have experienced excessive optimism in recent years. While this strategy can be successful for a period of time, it is also prone to crashes. The host believes that value stocks offer a different profile and tend to be better long-term investments.
The podcast discusses the Japanese equity market and the preference for foreign investors to invest in Japan. It highlights examples of investors who have made significant profits from investing in the Japanese equity market. The speaker questions the rationale of not investing in stocks and leaving money in bonds or cash. The episode emphasizes the potential for growth in the Japanese equity market if Japanese households increase their allocation to equities.
The podcast explores the attractiveness of developed non-US markets, particularly Europe and Japan, in terms of valuation levels compared to the US. The speaker suggests that European and Japanese equities offer compelling opportunities for long-term investors. They mention the concentration of the US equity market and the potential risks associated with this concentration, contrasting it with the broader market representation in countries like the UK and Japan.
Clay Finck chats with Dan Rasmussen about why Japanese equities offer some of the most attractive valuations in the market today, how stretched growth stock valuations are relative to value and much more.
Dan is the Founder and Portfolio Manager of Verdad, which is a global asset management firm that strives to achieve the highest risk-adjusted returns possible through rigorous research and its practical application.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro.
01:45 - Contrarian views of the market Dan holds relative to the rest of the market.
05:14 - Why the US is overvalued relative to international stocks.
09:19 - Historically how undervalued value indices are.
13:27 - Why Dan is bullish on Japan.
13:44 - The value mandate that Japan put in place to try and juice stock market valuations.
24:11 - Dan’s views on Japan’s policy of yield curve control.
24:42 - What’s keeping investors away from Japan’s stock market.
30:57 - What the financial accelerator is and how it relates to the 2023 banking crisis.
36:12 - How equity markets tend to behave after a Fed pause.
36:30 - How high-interest rates are affecting corporate earnings.
51:21 - Dan’s views on the Chaos Kings and their strategy of Crisis Investing.
60:40 - How Verdad’s portfolios are positioned today.
72:21 - What technologies excite Dan in creating a better society for the future.
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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