Putin threatens nukes if the West sends troops to Ukraine & can Europe re-arm if America withdraws?
Feb 29, 2024
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The podcast discusses Putin's nuclear threats over Ukraine, Europe's defense if US withdraws, and the urgency to equip Zelensky for victory. Also covered are updates on military situation in Ukraine, challenges faced by Ukrainian forces, Putin's aggressive posturing, Europe's re-armament efforts, and a touching dedication to a listener battling cancer.
Putin threatens nuclear war if NATO intervenes in Ukraine, escalating tensions.
Europe faces challenges in arming itself independently if US support diminishes.
Russia's underperforming war machine vulnerable to Western sanctions, highlighting potential impacts.
Deep dives
Military Updates from Ukraine
Ukrainian forces have successfully repelled Russian troops from the village of Olivka, showing resilience in the face of ongoing offensives. General Sursky emphasized the difficult situation on the Eastern Front, with Russian troops launching attacks in multiple directions. In response, Ukraine's military took corrective measures on the ground, providing additional resources and reserves to support their troops. The challenging conditions in other regions like Haarkeve have led to civilian casualties, highlighting the ongoing confrontations and impact on local communities.
Putin's Address and NATO Threats
Putin's recent address underscored Russia's stance on the conflict in Ukraine, warning NATO against military intervention and nuclear war implications. He shifted focus towards the war, blaming the West for provoking conflicts in various regions. Putin reiterated Russia's defensive actions in protecting its sovereignty and compatriots in Donbas. Despite global tensions, support for the war effort in Russia remains high, emphasizing the unity and resolve of its citizens.
European Defense Capabilities and Potential Shifts
The discussion with defense technology expert Michael Boone highlighted Europe's ability to fill defense gaps if the US withdraws support for Ukraine. Boone discussed the gradual ramp-up of European artillery production and potential challenges in meeting Ukraine's needs. He emphasized the critical gaps in air defense systems and long-range strike capabilities, proposing collaborations with international partners like South Korea. Suggestions included leveraging existing assets like Gripen fighters and strategically targeting Russian air bases to disrupt operations.
Russian Industrial Base and Vulnerability to Sanctions
The Russian war machine is underperforming compared to its potential, indicating vulnerability to Western sanctions. Despite challenges in securing essential tools and sensors initially, Russia shows signs of doubling its production annually. To curb this growth, strict enforcement of sanctions, particularly targeting states aiding in circumventing sanctions, could significantly impact Russia's industrial capabilities.
Proactive Sanctions Enforcement and Ukrainian Military Strategy
Effective enforcement of sanctions and proactive military investments are crucial. There is a need to empower Ukraine to strategize efficiently, even considering controversial actions like striking into Russia if necessary. The discussion on allowing Ukraine to leverage its resources in the most effective way possible, potentially involving drastic measures, is essential to prevent defeat and ensure a successful outcome.
Day 733. Today, as the military situation continues to develop at pace, we discuss Vladimir Putin's annual address to Russia, and the world, threatening Nato with war if it sends troops to Ukraine.
Plus, we bring on an expert to discuss the vital question of how Europe can arm itself if the United States withdraws.
Contributors:
Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.
Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.
With thanks to Michael Bohnert (Researcher in defense technology and acquisition at RAND, a nonpartisan public policy research organization). @mbohnert on X.
Music provided by Taras Kompanichenko: https://www.facebook.com/taras.kompanichenko/
