How Will A Recession Affect the Industrial Real Estate Market?

While it's impossible to accurately predict the future, I approached this question from a few different angles:

First, I asked the three smartest economists that exact question. Dr. Peter Linneman, KC Conway and Todd Hirsch all share some great insights into what they expect in the near future.

Second, I reviewed industrial lease rates and vacancy rates of Chicago's industrial market going all the way back to 1996 (most notably including the Great Recession in 2008/2009).

Last, I provide my own thoughts as both a broker and an investor. I've observed a lot over my 18+ year career and share how I feel about the current market and what I have planned going forward.

There's an infinite amount of scenarios that could unfold but despite my apocalyptic thumbnail, ultimately I don't think there's going to be significant downside coming to the market. There will be downward pressure related to increasing interest rates, but personally I believe it will be a temporary aberration over the long haul.

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🙋‍♂️ Chad Griffiths, MBA, SIOR

 

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