Intelligence Squared The Power of Demography, with Paul Morland
Jun 6, 2022
In a captivating discussion, Paul Morland, a leading demography expert and author, explores whether the world faces overpopulation or a population decline. He delves into how historical population shifts shape societal changes and the significant impact of aging demographics on global conflict. Morland highlights the interesting connections between religiosity and fertility rates, showcasing groups like the Amish. The conversation also covers evolving perceptions of retirement age and the geopolitical implications of demographic trends.
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Wembley's Changing Demographics
- Paul Morland's interest in demography stemmed from observing rapid ethnic change in his childhood Wembley neighborhood.
- He also noted varying fertility choices among friends and family, sparking further curiosity.
Historical Population Dynamics
- Historically, population size mattered, especially during wars or resource scarcity, influencing societal power dynamics.
- Pre-1800, population growth was a 'random walk,' influenced by unpredictable events like plagues or good harvests.
Franco-German Demographic Anxieties
- French anxieties about German fertility pre-WWI illustrate how perceived demographic threats can fuel conflict.
- Germany's rapid population growth, fueled by falling mortality, caused concern, though German fertility later declined.
