The podcast discusses the latest economic report, highlighting the S&P 500 hitting a record high and the GameStop guy owning 9 million shares. It also covers interest rates, inflation, job growth, and the implications for your wallet.
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Quick takeaways
Interest rates expected to remain steady until September, potential for rate cuts across the rest of the year.
Inflation holds at 3.3%, exceeding the Fed's 2% target, amidst positive job market growth.
Deep dives
Federal Reserve Interest Rates and Market Expectations
The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady, as widely anticipated. Market expectations are now leaning towards a 71% probability of a rate cut by the September meeting. Analysts predict potential rate cuts across the remaining meetings this year, estimating benchmark interest rates to decrease by 50 to 75 basis points.
CPI Report and Inflation Trends
The May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed no change in inflation, staying consistent with past levels. Over the past 12 months, inflation has increased by 3.3%, surpassing the Fed's 2% target. Despite expectations for rate cuts, the Fed remains committed to achieving a 2% inflation objective.
Employment Data and Economic Interpretation
May's employment report exceeded expectations, with 272,000 new jobs added, surpassing the forecast of 180,000. However, the unemployment rate also slightly increased to 4%. Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4%, portraying a mixed picture in the job market, leading to varied interpretations among economists and analysts.
Student Loan Relief Deadline and GameStop Update
A deadline approaching on June 30 offers potential debt relief for 3.6 million federal direct loan borrowers through loan forgiveness programs. Meanwhile, the GameStop saga continues with Keith Gill doubling his stake in the company to 9 million shares, sparking speculation about his possible board membership. Additionally, the student loan market experiences volatility with new applications for loan forgiveness and paused payments under the SAVE plan.
#514: The S&P 500 hit a record high — and the GameStop guy is back, and he now owns 9 million shares of GME, making him the 4th largest shareholder.
Interest rates from remain the same, and are expected to hold steady until September. Inflation remains unchanged from last month.
Last month we saw a massive explosion of new jobs, at 272,000 — nearly 90,000 more than predicted. But we also saw unemployment tick up, which created mixed signals.
Learn the implications of the latest economic news — and how it impacts your wallet — in this month’s economic update.