The Playbook Podcast November 27, 2024: After Hezbollah ceasefire, what's next for Israel?
Nov 27, 2024
Eric Bazail-Eimil, co-author of NatSec Daily and national security expert, discusses the recent ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, revealing its unexpected impact on Biden's peace aspirations in Gaza. He delves into the complex negotiations and tensions surrounding Hamas, highlighting their isolation and the urgent need for resolution as the Biden administration approaches its end. The conversation also touches on the shifting geopolitical landscape and what a potential return of Trump could mean for U.S. foreign policy in the region.
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Hamas Ceasefire Prospects
- The White House believes ending hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah will help secure a ceasefire with Hamas.
- Hamas's perceived isolation may encourage them to negotiate, as their anticipated regional support has diminished.
Trump's Middle East Policy
- Trump's Middle East policy is uncertain, though he desires a swift resolution to the conflict.
- His administration may grant Israel more operational freedom, but the diplomatic approach remains unclear.
Transition and National Security
- The Biden administration aims for a smooth transition to minimize potential national security risks during the handover.
- Key concerns include China's aggression towards Taiwan and the unpredictable nature of the war in Ukraine.