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Dollar & Sense: The Brookings Trade Podcast

How serious is the risk of war over Taiwan?

Apr 17, 2023
Richard Bush and Ryan Hass, Brookings Senior Fellows, discuss U.S.-Taiwan relations in the context of China's challenge. They explore Taiwan's upcoming presidential election, the potential for conflict with China, and the importance of not politicizing Taiwan. They argue that tensions can only be resolved with the assent of Taiwan's people.
25:20

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Quick takeaways

  • Tensions between China and Taiwan can only be resolved with the assent of Taiwan's people.
  • The outcome of Taiwan's presidential election in 2024 will affect the level of Beijing's pressure on cross-Taiwan Strait relations.

Deep dives

The US official position on Taiwan and its allies' views

The US recognized the People's Republic of China (PRC) as the government of China in 1979 and ended diplomatic relations with Taiwan. The US acknowledges that Taiwan is part of China's sovereign territory. Key allies in Europe and Asia, like Japan, have similar positions, recognizing the PRC as the government of China but remaining ambiguous on the legal status of Taiwan.

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