LessWrong (Curated & Popular) “On the Rationality of Deterring ASI” by Dan H
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Mar 22, 2025 Dan H., author of the influential paper "Superintelligence Strategy," dives into the urgent need for a strategy to deter advanced AI systems. He discusses how rapid AI advancements pose national security risks similar to the nuclear threat, emphasizing the necessity for deterrence akin to traditional military strategies. The conversation also explores international competitiveness in AI development, warning against the dangers of rogue actors leveraging AI for destructive purposes, and the complex interplay of power among nations striving for AI superiority.
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AI Dominance and Deterrence
- A race for AI dominance endangers all states, risking accidental loss of control or a dangerous monopoly.
- This creates a dynamic similar to nuclear MAD, termed "mutual assured AI malfunction" (MAIM), requiring careful management.
Non-Proliferation Measures for AI
- Limit AI capabilities of rogue actors by controlling access to high-end AI chips, similar to WMD non-proliferation efforts.
- Implement information security to protect advanced AI model weights and incentivize AI security measures.
AI Security Priorities
- Prioritize securing AI systems against non-state actors and insider threats over state-level attacks initially.
- Robust compute security is feasible and aligns with the interests of powerful nations.