
The Herd with Colin Cowherd Sharp or Square - FINAL NFL Week 7 Bets: Cowboys-Commanders, Patriots-Titans, Bucs-Lions, Falcons-49ers, Texans-Seahawks, Raiders-Chiefs
Oct 19, 2025
Simon Hunter, a professional sports bettor, joins Chad Millman to dissect NFL Week 7 matchups and share their expert betting insights. They dive into the nuances of high-profile games like the Cowboys vs. Commanders and Patriots vs. Titans, examining key injury reports and line movements. Simon reveals why the Chargers are undervalued and discusses betting strategies against the spread. They finalize their top five picks, highlighting Cleveland, Tennessee, and Detroit as strong bets. Get ready for a thrilling weekend of football!
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Lock Early-Week Line Value
- Shop early-week lines because they often offer better value before injury/news moves lines.
- Lock numbers you like before public money or injury reports force the market to flip.
Weather Can Wipe Out Predictive Edges
- Wind and weather add randomness that can invalidate models and shift edges.
- Betting quarterbacks in gusty, rainy games can be a major variable against predictability.
Fade The Public When Pros Disagree
- Fade public dogs and seek edges where professional money disagrees with retail action.
- Prefer matchups and numbers that exploit public overvaluation, even if you dislike the team.

