In Moscow's Shadows In Moscow's Shadows 221: Is the Sun Rising over Russo-Japanese Relations?
Oct 26, 2025
Japan's new PM seeks a peace treaty with Russia, posing challenges over territorial disputes. Amidst fears of China and North Korea, Japan continues to import Russian LNG despite sanctions. Cyber incidents and probing activities strain ties between the two nations. The long-standing Kuril Islands dispute complicates negotiations, with Russia wary of alienating its allies. While cultural links could help ease tensions, Russia's pride may stymie any pragmatic concessions.
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Trump Seeks Deals, Not Principles
- Donald Trump's moves on Russia reflect desire for a deal, not a principled stance on Ukraine.
- Sanctions act as leverage to force Putin to concede something Trump can sell as a peace win.
Pragmatic Japanese Approach To Russia
- Japan balances security fears with pragmatic ties to Russia, especially over LNG and tourism.
- Takechi's government mixes tougher rhetoric with continued economic engagement to protect national interest.
Enduring People And Trade Links
- Despite political distance, people-to-people links and tourism between Russia and Japan are growing rapidly.
- Trade still flows, led by Russian LNG and Japanese auto exports, even as volumes decline from prewar levels.
