Recessionary Conditions to Pressure Asset Prices with Lyn Alden

Interview Recorded - 9th of June, 2023

On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Lyn Alden, Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. 

During our conversation we spoke about macro drivers impacting markets, potential for a liquidity crisis driven by the Treasury, the risk of higher inflation for longer, what this means for the debt end game and how Lyn is constructing her portfolio to mitigate these risks. I hope you enjoy!

0:00 - Introduction
1:05 - Macro drivers impacting markets
2:50 - Current Treasury funding challenge
6:05 - Correlation between liquidity and market performance
7:20 - Where will liquidity issues show up first?
8:40 - Lyn’s base case for treasury funding
12:25 - Repeat of March Bank Collapses?
14:10 - Commercial real-estate another challenge for banks?
16:05 - Is todays economy more similar to the 1940’s than 1970’s?
20:30 - Japanification or financial repression?
23:40 - What is the current debt end game?
27:05 - What would Lyn do if she was the Fed Chair?
28:35 - What does Lyn want to own?
30:35 - Macro, Geopolitics & valuation weightings in investing
32:25 - How does Lyn construct and manage risk in portfolio?
33:30 - One message to take away from conversation?

Lyn runs an investment research service for both retail and institutional investors at LynAlden.com. Her focus is on fundamental investing with a global macro overlay, with an emphasis on equities, currencies, commodities, and digital assets. 

Lyn has also worked for over a decade in the aviation industry in a range of roles, starting as an electronics engineer and moving into project and facility management, and engineering finance. Eventually she became the head engineer and head of technical procurement for the facility, before retiring in my 30s. 

Lyn has a bachelor's in electronics engineering and a master's in engineering management, with a focus on engineering economics and financial modelling. 

Lyn Alden - 

Website - https://www.lynalden.com/
LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/lynalden/
Twitter - https://twitter.com/lynaldencontact?lang=en

WTFinance -

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