To understand Trump's climate moves in his second term, look to the Reagan years
Jan 23, 2025
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Paul Sabin, a Yale historian specializing in oil and environmentalism, dives into the parallels between Trump's potential second term and the Reagan years. He highlights how Trump's aggressive push for fossil fuels mirrors Reagan's deregulation stance. The discussion touches on past environmental activism and its implications for future climate policies. Jonathan Lash also shares his feelings of déjà vu, reflecting on the cyclical nature of U.S. climate politics. The conversation unwraps the complexities of energy transitions amidst political turmoil.
The shift from Biden to Trump signals a potential revival of Reagan-era policies, focusing on increased fossil fuel production and deregulation.
Activism and litigation from public interest organizations may increase in response to potential environmental deregulation, echoing past resistance movements.
Deep dives
Open Source AI Innovations
Open source AI, particularly Meta's offerings, is empowering a diverse group of developers and clinicians worldwide. Tools like Metatron and the AI model Lama are made freely available, enabling users to create collaborative solutions in the medical field. This accessibility allows for the timely dissemination of accurate medical information, ultimately improving healthcare delivery in various regions. The support for open source models fosters innovation and collaboration among professionals who may not have had access to advanced AI resources otherwise.
Historical Lessons on Energy Policy
The transition from Biden's administration to Trump's is expected to see significant shifts in energy policy, reminiscent of the Reagan era's impact after Carter. Trump's agenda includes the potential for increased domestic fossil fuel production, paralleled by Reagan’s focus on minimizing regulations. Historical perspectives indicate that while presidential powers are influential, they are bounded by existing laws and public sentiment. The changes will provoke debates around jobs, local industries, and the future of climate legislation amidst a complex political landscape.
Public Reaction and Regulatory Challenges
The potential rollback of environmental regulations under Trump may mobilize public interest organizations, much like during Reagan's presidency. These groups, energized by resistance movements, may pursue litigation to counteract deregulation efforts. However, the current political environment, marked by a Republican-led Congress and a conservative Supreme Court, could hinder these organizations' abilities to challenge the administration effectively. The historical context suggests that public engagement on environmental issues may dwindle unless immediate crises provoke action, highlighting the struggle between regulatory reform and political stability.
As Donald Trump returns to the White House, Akshat Rathi speaks to Yale historian Paul Sabin about whether recent presidential history might hold some lessons on what to expect from the Trump administration’s approach to energy and environmental policy this term. Looking back at the Carter and Reagan years, Sabin explores how present-day Trump priorities– from dismantling government agencies to ramping up oil and gas production–have historical precedent. And Jonathan Lash, who was an environmental lawyer in the Reagan years, explains why he’s feeling déjà vu in these early days of Trump’s second term.
Zero is a production of Bloomberg Green. Our producer is Mythili Rao. Special thanks this week to Sharon Chen, Siobhan Wagner, Jessica Beck, and David Fox. Thoughts or suggestions? Email us at zeropod@bloomberg.net. For more coverage of climate change and solutions, visit https://www.bloomberg.com/green.