CEO of Marathon Capital, LLC, Ted Brandt, discusses the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act on deals in the renewables sector, challenges in true sequestration, and potential opportunities in carbon capture and enhanced oil recovery. The podcast also explores the transferability of tax credits, the nature of buyers in the renewable energy market, and investment opportunities in clean energy and green chemical companies.
The Inflation Reduction Act has opened up new opportunities in the renewables sector, but higher capital costs and financing challenges remain.
Carbon capture, especially enhanced oil recovery, holds potential for market growth, while separable tax credits and transferability of production tax credits are still in early stages but show promise for the future.
Deep dives
Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act on the Clean Energy Market
The passage of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has significantly changed the landscape of the clean energy market. It has made viable a range of renewable energy projects that were previously not feasible, such as renewable natural gas, sustainable aircraft fuel, renewable diesel, standalone storage, and carbon capture. However, the cost of capital has also increased, leading to higher capital costs and lower capacity factors for solar and wind projects. While the IRA provides long-term stability, there are still challenges in the short-term as many projects struggle to secure financing.
Opportunities in Carbon Capture and Separable Tax Credits
Carbon capture, specifically in the form of enhanced oil recovery, presents a real market opportunity. Retrofits of existing infrastructure show promise, while true sequestration faces various government cooperation hurdles. The market for separable tax credits is still in its early stages, but there is interest from existing tax equity providers and corporate buyers. However, the financing structure and project guarantees remain key obstacles in fully embracing separable tax credits. The transferability of production tax credits is still in its nascent stage, with few deals closed, but it holds the potential for significant growth in the future.
M&A Market and Equity Raises in the Renewable Sector
The M&A market in the renewable sector has seen improved liquidity, with sellers being more realistic about buyer requirements and risk mitigation. While operational assets have been impacted by increased costs of debt and equity, there is still a market for them at the right return thresholds. Potential buyers in the US market are more strategic players than international investors, who have become less active. Equity raises for platform companies and large projects continue, but the impact of increasing interest rates on return expectations is still uncertain.
Ted Brandt, CEO of Marathon Capital, LLC, talks with Todd Alexander about various subjects, including how the Inflation Reduction Act has affected the landscape of deals in the renewables sector, what to expect with transferability of tax credits, how M&A deals have held up in the renewables sector, and where to look for the most potential opportunities.
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