Howard Marks, a renowned investor and co-founder of Oaktree Capital, delves into the crucial balance between politics and economics. He discusses the consequences of overriding economic laws for political gain, using examples like price gouging and government subsidies. Marks questions the morality of manipulating housing markets and explores the unsustainability of programs like Social Security. He emphasizes the need for a pragmatic approach that respects free market principles, cautioning against shortsighted policies that can harm society.
Ignoring the inherent trade-offs in economic decisions can lead to misguided political promises that ultimately undermine societal well-being.
Attempts to regulate pricing through measures like rent control can inadvertently distort markets, exacerbating supply issues rather than alleviating them.
Deep dives
The Illusion of Free Lunch in Economics
Economics fundamentally operates on the principle that there are no free lunches; every economic decision involves trade-offs. Political figures often make promises that reflect an alternate economic reality, ignoring the inherent costs associated with their proposals. For instance, calls for tariffs and regulations on pricing, such as Vice President Harris's stance on grocery prices, highlight a disconnect between economic reality and political rhetoric. Ultimately, such promises cannot negate the biological and economic laws governing society, which emphasize that all choices have associated consequences.
Economic Reality vs. Political Promises
Historical instances illustrate the dichotomy between economic promises and actual delivery. The post-World War II division of Korea serves as a key example; North Korea’s command economy juxtaposed with South Korea’s capitalist framework showcases the failures of centrally planned systems. The superior performance of South Korea emphasizes the benefits of a free market, which allocates resources more effectively than governments can through policy. Promises made in politics often ignore the second-order consequences that arise when economic principles are disregarded.
The Complexity of Price Gouging
Price gouging, often labeled as unfair or excessive, raises complicated questions about the dynamics of supply and demand during crises. Factors such as supply chain disruptions and labor costs can contribute to price increases that may not necessarily stem from malicious intent. For example, during the pandemic, consumer demand surged while inventories were depleted, leading to increased prices that some referred to as gouging. However, defining gouging is subjective, and regulations aimed at controlling pricing can have adverse effects on availability and market dynamics.
The Challenge of Economic Regulations
Attempts to impose economic regulations often create more problems than they solve, as evidenced by the historical failures of price controls. The experience of rent control in New York exemplifies how good intentions can lead to strong market distortions and a lack of housing supply. Rather than promoting affordability, strict regulations may deter investment in new housing, leading to a paradox where high demand exists, but supply remains stagnant. Ultimately, engaging with the laws of economics rather than attempting to override them is crucial for developing effective and sustainable policies.
In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the economic facts of life, as he examines the workings of free markets and what happens when they’re tampered with. He considers what “price-gouging” actually means and how rents should be set. He ultimately argues that the laws of economics shouldn’t be overridden — even when it’s politically advantageous to do so – because of the loss to society.