

George Friedman on Why Trump’s Tariffs on India Are Part of a Wider Geopolitical Game
Aug 26, 2025
George Friedman, Chairman and founder of Geopolitical Futures, is an internationally recognized geopolitical forecaster. In this discussion, he analyzes Trump's bold decision to impose tariffs on India, exploring its implications for U.S.-India relations and the strategic maneuvering against China. Friedman delves into the hypocrisy of U.S. foreign policy and the broader geopolitical game at play, linking tariffs to shifting alliances and military investments. He unpacks the unpredictability of U.S. strategies and their profound impact on global dynamics.
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Tariffs As Dual Strategic Signals
- The tariffs served a dual signaling purpose to both Russia and China.
- Targeting India warned Russia and reassured China the US wasn't arming India.
India Useful But Not Indispensable
- The U.S.-India relationship is useful but not indispensable to U.S. strategy.
- India cannot replace China economically or militarily for the United States.
Can't Mix Economic Integration With Military Hostility
- The U.S. cannot remain economically integrated with a military rival.
- Washington wants economic ties with China but must deter military aggression toward the U.S.