Economist Podcasts AI-pocalypse: predicting the threat from artificial intelligence
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Jul 12, 2023 Arjun Ramani, Global business and economics correspondent for The Economist, sheds light on the alarming predictions surrounding AI, including the potential for existential threats to humanity. He explores different perspectives on managing AI risks and emphasizes the critical role of regulations. The discussion also highlights a transformative education program at Sing Sing prison that significantly reduces recidivism. Additionally, Ramani delves into the revival of working men's clubs in the UK, revealing their unexpected cultural impact.
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Existential Threats
- Humanity faces several existential threats, including climate change, diseases, and nuclear war.
- The doomsday clock, symbolizing annihilation, is closer to midnight than ever before.
AI Risk
- AI experts consider mitigating the risk of extinction from AI a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war.
- However, current AI doesn't pose existential risks, but future advancements might.
Expert vs. Superforecaster Predictions
- Researchers, including Ezra Karger and Phil Tetlock, studied expert predictions on existential risks.
- They compared domain experts with superforecasters, finding experts consistently predict worse outcomes.