Curve Your Enthusiasm cover image

Curve Your Enthusiasm

Shakedown street

Mar 22, 2024
This podcast delves into the diverging macroeconomic events of the week, discussing central bank rate hikes and cuts. They explore the linear macro story across developed markets and the implications for the bond market. The hosts analyze the yield curve dynamics, predicting a trend of steepening. The episode also explores the recent BoC speech on balance sheet normalization and speculates on the timing of the first rate cut.
29:21

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Monetary policy is shifting towards an easing cycle amid a divergent macro environment.
  • The Fed is adapting a balanced approach to policy adjustments, focusing on interpreting inflation data and managing balance sheet normalization.

Deep dives

The Macro Narrative and Monetary Policy

The discussion explores the divergent macro week, focusing on the linear macro narrative and potential disruptions. The supply shocks and their impact on inflation expectations are highlighted, suggesting a case for monetary policy easing. Central banks are contemplating the future path of monetary policy and the debate on anchoring from a monetary policy perspective.

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