The Intelligence from The Economist Capital outflow: Russia changes tack
Mar 30, 2022
Shashank Joshi, The Economist's defense editor, shares his keen insights on the evolving dynamics of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlighting Russia's troop withdrawal and the implications for future peace talks. He reveals skepticism surrounding Russia's narrative and discusses the impact of Western sanctions. The conversation also delves into Singapore's controversial anti-gay law, shedding light on the ongoing struggle for LGBTQ+ rights. Additionally, an exploration of Bolivia's illegal car market offers a glimpse into the cultural significance of contraband vehicles.
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Russia's Shift in Strategy
- Russia's announced troop movements away from Kyiv are likely a result of their initial strategy's failure, not goodwill.
- Their claim of never intending to take Kyiv contradicts prior intelligence and actions.
Russia's True Intentions
- Russia's initial war plan was regime change in Ukraine, evidenced by attempts to seize Kyiv and early propaganda.
- Their current pivot is a reaction to heavy losses and stalled advances, not a change of heart.
Evidence of Changing Tactics
- Russia's shift in strategy involves withdrawing troops from Kyiv, digging defensive positions, and blowing up bridges.
- This indicates a move away from assaulting Kyiv and towards preventing Ukrainian movement.