Evening Edition: Israel Agrees To Ceasefire With Hezbollah, Will It Last?
Nov 26, 2024
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David Daoud, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies specializing in Lebanon and Hezbollah, offers insights on the newly brokered ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. He expresses skepticism about the stability of the agreement, contemplating the potential for renewed hostilities. The discussion highlights the fragile peace, the role of U.S. diplomacy, and the intricate ties between Iran and Hezbollah. Daoud also touches on the implications for regional security and the ongoing impact of sanctions on Hezbollah's resilience.
The 60-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, brokered by the U.S. and France, raises doubts about lasting peace due to Hezbollah's commitment issues.
Concerns about the Lebanese army's ability to enforce the ceasefire and Israel's potential military responses highlight the complexities of regional stability.
Deep dives
Ceasefire Agreement Between Israel and Hezbollah
A 60-day ceasefire has been established between Israel and Hezbollah amidst ongoing conflicts involving Hamas. The Biden administration, alongside French President Emmanuel Macron, played key roles in brokering this deal. However, doubts have emerged regarding the efficacy of this ceasefire, as experts question whether it will effectively prevent Hezbollah from rearmament or future aggression. The situation raises concerns about whether the terms of the ceasefire would ensure lasting peace or simply function as a temporary pause in hostilities.
Challenges of Implementation and Enforcement
Concerns have been raised about the realistic enforcement of the ceasefire, particularly regarding Hezbollah's commitment to the terms. Commentators note that the Lebanese army, which is expected to monitor Hezbollah's actions, has historically struggled to contain the group, raising skepticism about their ability to enforce compliance. Additionally, Prime Minister Netanyahu's assurances of total freedom of action for Israel are disputed, hinting that any military response would face significant bureaucratic hurdles. Overall, the complexities inherent in enforcing this ceasefire could lead to ongoing instability in the region.
The Broader Implications for Regional Conflicts
The ceasefire with Hezbollah holds the potential to impact ongoing tensions in Gaza and broader regional dynamics influenced by Iran. U.S. administration officials have suggested that this agreement might pave the way for a parallel ceasefire deal with Hamas, indicating a strategic approach to conflict resolution. As tensions simmer, Hezbollah may be incentivized to stabilize the situation to focus efforts in Gaza, given their ties to Iranian interests. However, mixed signals regarding Iranian nuclear ambitions and continued proxy activities raise questions about the long-term viability of peace in the region.
The Israeli Security Cabinet has approved a ceasefire deal with Hezbollah, an agreement the United States helped broker. The ceasefire has a sixty day transition period when the Israeli Army withdraws from Lebanon and the Lebanese moves it to secure it. Israel retains the right to use force if they are attacked again but would need to provide proof of a violation of the deal.
FOX’s John Saucier speaks with David Daoud, a senior fellow at Foundation for Defense of Democracies with a focus on Lebanon and Hezbollah, who says he doesn't have the greatest confidence in the agreement.
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