Prof G Markets

Nasdaq Posts Best Day Since May as Fear & Greed Collide

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Nov 25, 2025
Robert Armstrong, a U.S. commentator for the Financial Times, dives into the recent volatility in markets, highlighting the tension between fear and greed that causes erratic movement. He emphasizes the importance of long-term valuations and discusses potential fiscal policy impacts ahead of elections. Labor economist Kathryn Anne Edwards explores the September jobs report, revealing a gradually cooling labor market and challenges in manufacturing. She also explains how data gaps complicate Fed decisions, offering critical insights for policy implications.
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INSIGHT

Fear And Greed Driving Volatility

  • The market currently reflects a fierce tug-of-war between fear and greed, causing violent short-term whipsaws.
  • Robert Armstrong says both emotions are unusually strong, producing big price swings despite unclear fundamentals.
INSIGHT

Valuations Matter Long-Term Only

  • High valuations predict long-run returns but not year-to-year outcomes, so expensive markets can still rally short-term.
  • Armstrong emphasizes valuation matters over 5–10 years, not over the next 12 months.
ADVICE

Shade Exposure When Valuations Peak

  • If you invest for the long term, consider shading exposure and holding more cash when valuations are extreme.
  • Armstrong suggests diversifying and being more cautious rather than outright selling everything.
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