Last weekend,
The Australian newspaper published
the blog I sent you last week where I predicted that the property market is close to the bottom and that prices next year would either be unchanged or improve slightly. Well, that article received over 60 comments and none of them were complimentary or supportive of my prediction. Upon reflection, I wanted to share some very important comments and observations.
Be aware of the story you are telling yourself
I am almost certain that 95% of the people that commented on my article have never invested in property and probably never will. They desperately want to prove that their decision to not invest was correct; “See, the market is about to crash. That’s why I didn’t invest!”. So, when there’s an opportunity for support the idea that investing in property is destined for failure, they jump at it.
Successful property investors tell themselves a story too. Most investors will say that the market will be fine in the long run so there’s nothing to worry about – it’s all just media hyperbole.
With this in mind, I would like to make two points:
Be careful that you don’t fool yourself
Once you understand that humans are susceptible to only seeing things (data, media, ideas, etc.) that validate the story we are telling ourselves, you must be careful to not be too one-eyed. One of my favourite sayings is “hold strong opinions, loosely”. Always leave room for the idea that your story could be wrong.
Be careful who you listen to
It is interesting to note that the economists that don’t invest in property themselves (personally) tend to always hold negative views about the property market. The ones that do invest in property tend to be more balanced. Also, negative property views make perfect clickbait and some commentators have built a career out of holding perpetual negative views – because it garnishes media attention. So, be careful who you listen to.
In short, people that voice very strong views tend to do so to defend (validate) past decisions.
The chorus is getting stronger for a
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