Call Me Back - with Dan Senor DEAL or WAR - with Col. (Ret.) Miri Eisin
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Aug 21, 2025 Miri Eisin, a retired Colonel in the IDF and a leading expert on military intelligence, dives into the complex decision facing Israel regarding a ceasefire with Hamas. She explores the geopolitical implications of the IDF’s upcoming offensive in Gaza City, stressing the balance between military action and diplomacy. Miri also discusses shifting dynamics in the Middle East, including relations with Hezbollah and Syria, and the overall impact on regional stability. Her insights illuminate the delicate interplay of security and international relations in today’s landscape.
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Military Success Has High Human Cost
- Militarily taking Gaza City is achievable but costly in lives for soldiers and civilians.
- Capturing territory won't guarantee the safety or rescue of hostages held by Hamas.
Military Pressure vs. Negotiation Limits
- Military pressure is the only effective lever against Hamas because international actors focus on Palestinians, not Hamas.
- Yet Miri warns military action may provoke Hamas to execute hostages and exploit the aftermath for propaganda.
Hostages Are Hamas' Strategic Insurance
- Miri doubts Hamas will return all hostages in negotiations because holding them serves Hamas' strategic aims.
- This makes the decision between a partial deal or full military offensive deeply fraught for Israel.