The Intelligence from The Economist

Tigrayans turn the tables: Ethiopia’s war

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Nov 5, 2021
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INSIGHT

Escalation of Ethiopian Civil War

  • Ethiopia's civil war has escalated significantly, with Tigrayan rebels threatening the capital, Addis Ababa.
  • The conflict began a year ago, and the Prime Minister, Abiy Ahmed, is now facing a potential battle in the capital.
INSIGHT

Tigrayan Rebels' Advance

  • The Tigrayan rebels' advance is surprising, given the initial expectation of a swift government victory.
  • The rebels have recaptured most of Tigray and are now advancing towards Addis Ababa, mirroring their 1991 path to power.
INSIGHT

Shift in Power Dynamics

  • Widespread atrocities in Tigray have fueled the TPLF's recruitment, strengthening their forces.
  • A rebellion in Oromia, Abiy Ahmed's own region, has further complicated the conflict, with rebels joining forces with the Tigrayans.
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