The Asia Chessboard
War over Taiwan in 2027?
Jan 22, 2025
Bonnie Glaser, Managing Director for the German Marshall Fund’s Indo-Pacific program and co-author of a pivotal book on U.S.-Taiwan relations, discusses the escalating tensions surrounding Taiwan. She highlights the shrinking space for dialogue with China and the evolving rhetoric from leaders like Xi Jinping. Glaser dives into Taiwan's defense strategy amidst dwindling trust in U.S. support and examines how recent global events have shifted transatlantic dynamics regarding Taiwan's security challenges. A thought-provoking analysis of the region’s future!
43:38
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Quick takeaways
- Bonnie Glaser emphasizes that Xi Jinping's cautious approach towards Taiwan is influenced by the costs of military actions observed in Ukraine.
- The use of gray zone tactics by China aims to undermine Taiwan's confidence in its governance and external support, complicating the island's security calculations.
Deep dives
Bonnie Glaser's Journey in Asian Geopolitics
Bonnie Glaser's fascination with Asia began during her studies in Asian history, which included prominent nations like Japan and China. After graduating from Boston University, she spent time in Taiwan and engaged deeply with Chinese politics, experiencing firsthand the complexities of cross-strait relations. Her insights gained prominence while working alongside Kurt Campbell in the Pentagon, where her trips to Beijing and Taipei provided critical perspectives at a time when access was more open. Glaser notes a stark shift in the landscape today, stating that accessing reliable information from China has become significantly more challenging since the tightening of restrictions.
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