US election: The other races that could shape America
Oct 30, 2024
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In this discussion, Sam Cabral, a BBC digital reporter covering the U.S. elections, dives into the critical down-ballot races that could reshape the political landscape. Holly Honderich, another BBC digital reporter focused on election ballot measures, sheds light on pivotal abortion-related proposals across multiple states. They explore how these elections can impact both the presidential power dynamics and the future of reproductive rights, emphasizing the complexity of voter sentiments in a highly polarized environment.
Control of the Senate and House is vital for the incoming president's success, with key races in states like West Virginia and Texas indicating shifting power dynamics.
Voter choices on abortion ballot measures in ten states could dramatically reshape reproductive rights in the US, reflecting evolving public sentiment.
Deep dives
Importance of Congressional Elections
Control of the US Senate and House is crucial in shaping the political landscape for the incoming president, whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris. Polls indicate that Democrats are likely to regain the House but may lose their majority in the Senate, which could significantly affect legislative power. With all 435 House seats and a third of Senate seats up for election, the stakes are high for both parties as they strategize on how to maintain or gain control. Key issues like local abortion laws are also at play in various states, contributing to the complexity of the electoral landscape.
Seat Contests and Potential Shifts
Several Senate seats are currently in jeopardy for Democrats, notably in states like West Virginia and Montana, which are leaning towards Republican candidates. The potential turnover in these states indicates a shift in power dynamics, particularly if Trump wins the presidency, as Republicans only need to flip one Democratic-held seat to regain control. Conversely, Texas is emerging as a competitive battleground with Kamala Harris campaigning for a strong Democratic challenger, which could signify a major upset in a traditionally conservative state. The balancing of power in the Senate depends heavily on these key races, with implications for future legislation.
Significance of State Ballot Measures on Abortion
Voters will also have the chance to directly influence abortion laws through ballot measures in ten states, making this a significant aspect of the election. These measures vary, with some seeking to establish a right to abortion up to 24 weeks and others proposing stricter limits. Historically, voters in both conservative and liberal states have leaned towards supporting pro-choice initiatives, indicating a shift in public sentiment. The outcomes of these measures could permanently alter the legal landscape surrounding reproductive rights in the US.
As well as electing a president, Americans will also choose hundreds of governors, representatives, and senators. While these races have been overshadowed by the surprisingly dramatic presidential election, they may well determine how much power and success Kamala Harris or Donald Trump has in the White House.
On this episode Caitríona Perry speaks to our digital reporter Sam Cabral about the key down ballot races to watch as the results come in. And fellow digital reporter Holly Honderich explains why some Americans will also get to vote directly on one of the elections most divisive topics: abortion.
The Global Story brings you trusted insights from BBC journalists worldwide. We want your ideas, stories and experiences to help us understand and tell #TheGlobalStory. Email us at theglobalstory@bbc.com You can also message us or leave a voice note via WhatsApp on +44 330 123 9480.
Producers: Richard Moran, Beth Timmins, Mariana Hernández Carrillo
Sound engineer: Philip Bull
Assistant editor: Sergi Forcada Freixas
Senior news editor: Sara Wadeson
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