The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast

Economic Growth, De-Population, and Macroeconomics with UPenn Econ Professor Jesus Fernández-Villaverde

12 snips
Nov 13, 2024
Jesus Fernández-Villaverde, a renowned Economics Professor at UPenn and director at Penn's Institute for the Study of Markets, dives into pressing economic themes with host Jon Hartley. They tackle the alarming decline in fertility rates and how this impacts global GDP growth, particularly in Japan. Fernández-Villaverde discusses the evolution of economic models, illustrating the differences between DSGE and VAR approaches. They also explore the complexities of macroeconomic theory, including the challenges of recessions and the critical role of institutions and economic education.
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INSIGHT

Japan's Hidden Growth

  • Japan's economic performance is better than perceived when adjusted for working-age population.
  • This highlights the importance of demographics in economic analysis.
INSIGHT

US Exceptionalism in Growth

  • The US's superior economic performance might be an outlier due to its unique tech sector and entrepreneurial culture.
  • However, other developed countries haven't closed the gap, suggesting underlying economic issues.
INSIGHT

The Future of Negative Growth

  • Negative GDP growth rates could become common due to declining population growth.
  • This could significantly impact how we define and respond to recessions.
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