The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast cover image

The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast

Economic Growth, De-Population, and Macroeconomics with UPenn Econ Professor Jesus Fernández-Villaverde

Nov 13, 2024
Jesus Fernández-Villaverde, a renowned Economics Professor at UPenn and director at Penn's Institute for the Study of Markets, dives into pressing economic themes with host Jon Hartley. They tackle the alarming decline in fertility rates and how this impacts global GDP growth, particularly in Japan. Fernández-Villaverde discusses the evolution of economic models, illustrating the differences between DSGE and VAR approaches. They also explore the complexities of macroeconomic theory, including the challenges of recessions and the critical role of institutions and economic education.
59:35

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Quick takeaways

  • The phenomenon of declining fertility rates is reshaping global demographics, threatening future economic performance and challenging traditional growth metrics.
  • An initiative at the University of Pennsylvania is reforming economics education by integrating historical context and philosophy with mathematical modeling.

Deep dives

Demographic Shifts and Economic Implications

Most countries are experiencing significant demographic changes characterized by declining fertility rates. This shift is viewed as a 'demographic winter,' which suggests a future with fewer working-age individuals worldwide. As a result, these trends challenge traditional economic performance metrics, prompting a reevaluation of how economies measure growth and productivity. Japan serves as a primary example of this phenomenon, marking it as a precursor for other nations facing similar aging population issues.

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