Scott Horton Show - Just the Interviews

4/25/25 Daniel Davis on Why a Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal Is Not Likely in the Near Future

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Apr 29, 2025
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INSIGHT

Ukraine Losing, Russia Gaining Strength

  • Ukraine is losing men and materiel faster than it can replace despite forced mobilization changes.
  • Russia grows in manpower and industrial capacity, refurbishing lost equipment and recruiting volunteers enthusiastically.
INSIGHT

Russian Countermeasures Neutralize HIMARS

  • HIMARS and ATACM missiles have lost effectiveness due to Russian electronic warfare countermeasures.
  • Russia focuses on attrition, killing Ukrainian forces rather than capturing large territories quickly.
INSIGHT

Russia's Non-Negotiable Territorial Demands

  • Russia demands Ukraine withdraw completely from the four contested oblasts for a peace deal.
  • Ukraine’s refusal to accept this means Russia intends to continue fighting until achieving full territorial control.
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