Julian Emanuel suggests it's time to buy equities. Veronica Clark discusses US economic data. Alan Ruskin talks about the BOJ's fine line. Patrick Anderson discusses UAW strikes and electric vehicle transition.
The ongoing auto manufacturing strikes have caused significant financial losses and disruptions to the industry, with an estimated cost of $1.6 billion in lost wages in just the first week.
Negotiations between automakers and the United Auto Workers (UAW) have become contentious, with the UAW demanding more than just wage increases, which raises concerns about potential bankruptcy risks for automakers and extends the duration of the strikes.
Deep dives
Effects of Auto Manufacturing Strikes on the Industry
The recent auto manufacturing strikes have caused significant disruptions and financial losses. In the first week alone, the strikes cost the industry $1.6 billion, primarily in lost wages. The costs are expected to escalate over the next few weeks as the strikes continue. The strikes have impacted not only the automakers but also UAW and non-UAW suppliers. Additionally, the strikes have led to reduced inventory, which may result in higher car prices in the near term.
Contentious Negotiations between Automakers and the UAW
Negotiations between the automakers and the United Auto Workers (UAW) have reached a point of contention. While the automakers have offered wage increases, the UAW is demanding more, including the return of the jobs bank and a defined benefit pension. These demands raise concerns about potential bankruptcy risks for the automakers, as these were contributing factors to past bankruptcies. The negotiations have led to an extended strike duration, impacting both profitability and the availability of certain car models.
Transition to EVs and Manufacturing Challenges
The auto industry is undergoing a transition towards electric vehicles (EVs), which presents manufacturing challenges. The complexity of EV manufacturing requires a different skill set and knowledge base, causing disruptions in the production processes of traditional automakers. Additionally, the push for EV production raises questions about the sustainability of subsidies and government support for plants that produce EVs, especially considering their higher costs and limited consumer demand. This transition to EVs contributes to the overall uncertainty in the industry.
Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, says it's time to buy equities. Veronica Clark, Citi Economist, discusses US economic data including Personal Income and Spending. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says the BOJ is trying to straddle a fine line. Patrick Anderson, Anderson Economic Group Founder & CEO, discusses the UAW strikes and says says there's no base case for success in the terms of the electric vehicle transition. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance