Economist Podcasts The Intelligence: Iran’s dangerous game in Gaza
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Oct 27, 2023 Nicholas Pelham, the Middle East correspondent for The Economist, dives deep into Iran's intricate geopolitical strategies. He discusses the recent American airstrikes on Iranian-linked Syrian bases, emphasizing Iran's proxy conflicts in the region. Pelham unpacks Iran's delicate balancing act as it maneuvers between tensions with the US and Israel. The conversations offer insights into the extensive implications these dynamics hold for international relations and the risk of a wider conflict.
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Iran's Calculated Escalation
- Iran seeks to escalate tensions with the West and Israel, but avoids all-out war.
- This strategy benefits Iran by delaying a potential normalization deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia, isolating Iran.
Economic Gains for Iran
- The current crisis benefits Iran economically due to increased oil prices amidst regional turmoil.
- Iran's oil production is at its highest since 2018 due to relaxed US sanctions enforcement.
Risks of Escalation for Iran
- Escalation risks all-out war with America and potential domestic protests.
- These risks are amplified by internal tensions in Iran following the death of a schoolgirl.