Good on Paper

An Election Post-Mortem With Tim Miller

Nov 12, 2024
In this discussion, Tim Miller, a former Republican strategist and host of The Bulwark Podcast, offers keen insights into Kamala Harris's campaign fallout. He delves into the Democratic Party's messaging struggles and how they failed to connect with diverse voter demographics. The conversation highlights how voter behavior can contradict liberal views, especially regarding abortion rights. Miller also reflects on the need for moderation within the party and critiques outdated political strategies, emphasizing the unpredictable nature of political dynamics.
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INSIGHT

Democratic Messaging Challenges

  • Democrats struggle to connect with voters outside a specific demographic.
  • This includes middle to upper-income, college-educated, urban/suburban white Americans, and black women.
ANECDOTE

2013 GOP Autopsy

  • Tim Miller recounts the 2013 GOP autopsy, which wrongly predicted Republican moderation.
  • Trump defied this prediction, highlighting the risk of premature conclusions.
INSIGHT

Global Incumbent Challenges

  • The inflationary environment negatively impacts incumbent politicians globally.
  • This makes elections challenging for those already in power.
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