Brian Moynihan, Chairman & CEO of Bank of America discusses the bank's yearly overall and anticipations for 2024. Topics include consumer credit, commercial loan demand, unexpected rate cuts, Bank of America's trading desk performance, and Chair Powell's challenge in managing markets and inflation.
Consumer spending during the holiday season has remained strong, indicating a healthy position for consumers.
Bank of America's trading desk has performed well, contributing to consistent profitability and a positive outlook for the economy.
Deep dives
Consumer spending remains steady, reflecting a normalized economy
Consumer spending has held up well during the holiday season, showing a growth rate of about 4.5% compared to the previous year. While it has slowed down from last year's rate, retail stores and online sales are still performing decently. Consumers have maintained healthy bank balances, with average account amounts still significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels. Although inflation has affected certain groups, overall unemployment rates remain low, indicating a strong position for consumers.
Commercial loan balances show sluggish growth due to increased caution
On the commercial side, loan balance growth has been slower, with low single-digit figures this quarter. Companies are borrowing less and reducing line usage due to concerns about final demand and rising borrowing costs. The Federal Reserve's signal of potential rate cuts in the coming year reflects a softening outlook for the economy. However, commercial credit remains stable, with delinquency rates consistent with the strong credit year of 2019. The business community is currently navigating the challenge of maintaining balance amid a slower growth rate.
Trading desk success driven by balanced approach and market volatility
Bank of America's trading desk has performed well throughout the year, demonstrating success both in fixed income and equities. The desk's balanced approach, coupled with increased business investments and market share gains, has contributed to its consistent profitability. As long as returns remain favorable, the bank is open to allocating more capital into trading. Additionally, Bank of America anticipates a soft landing scenario for the economy, with Chairman Powell carefully managing inflation concerns and market reactions.