In Moscow's Shadows

In Moscow's Shadows 125: Putin's Coming Back! And So's the Cold War?

Dec 10, 2023

The podcast discusses Putin's surprise announcement to stand for re-election and analyzes the motives behind it. It explores the potential threat Russia poses to NATO and debates the timeline for Russia's rearmament. The chapter also highlights the challenges of military training and mobilization and emphasizes the need to understand Russia's intentions and address threats in a realistic and timely manner.

49:45

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Episode notes

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Quick takeaways

Putin's announcement of his re-election was strategically timed and presented to maintain his image and avoid backlash.

The upcoming election campaign will emphasize continuity and stability while addressing topics such as the economy and Russia's future vision.

Deep dives

Putin's Re-election Announcement

In a surprise announcement, Putin revealed his decision to stand for re-election at a gala event. The timing and manner of the announcement were carefully orchestrated to avoid generating a backlash and to maintain Putin's image. The state media played a significant role in quickly spreading the news and creating a sense of support for Putin's candidacy. The decision to stand for re-election reflects Putin's belief that he is the only suitable leader for the country, especially during these uncertain times. The upcoming election campaign is expected to emphasize continuity and stability, while addressing issues such as the economy and Russia's future vision.

Introduction

3min

Putin's Re-election Announcement

10min

Russia's Imperial Ambitions and the Threat to NATO

2min

Russia's Potential Invasion of NATO

8min

The Challenges of Military Training and Mobilization

20min

Russia's Potential Security Threats and the Implications of a Massive Armament Program

4min

Understanding Russian Intentions and Addressing Threats

3min

So, surprise, surprise, Putin's standing for re-election. A few thoughts on how it was announced and the vibe around it, before I look at 'Preventing the Next War,' a report from DGAP, the German Council on Foreign Relations, that believes Russia could rearm within 6 years of the end of the war, and that if NATO has not already armed itself to match by then, it would invade. I'm not convinced -- but think it is crucial to have the debate.

The DGAP report is here.

The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.

You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows, and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials right here.

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